03/ 06
Lula and Latin America With 12 of its 18 neighbors on the right, Brazil reelected Lula
On October 25, Brazil reelected Lula with 51.79% of valid votes[1], while 12 of its 18 Latin American neighbors are governed by the right or center-right, according to the Colombian newspaper Publimetro[2]. In the same period, Trump acted openly on the region's elections and oil.
Brazil
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Left/center-left[2]
Argentina
Javier Milei
Libertarian right[2]
Chile
José Antonio Kast
Conservative right[2]
Colombia
Abelardo de la Espriella
Conservative right[2]
Peru
Keiko Fujimori
Conservative right[2]
Ecuador
Daniel Noboa
Center-right[2]
Bolivia
Rodrigo Paz
Center/center-right[2]
Paraguay
Santiago Peña
Right/center-right[2]
Honduras
Nasry Asfura
Right[2]
El Salvador
Nayib Bukele
Right/conservatism[2]
Costa Rica
Laura Fernández
Center-right[2]
Panama
José Raúl Mulino
Center-right[2]
Dominican Rep.
Luis Abinader
Center/center-right[2]
Uruguay
Yamandú Orsi
Center-left[2]
Mexico
Claudia Sheinbaum
Left[2]
Guatemala
Bernardo Arévalo
Reformist/progressive center[2]
Venezuela
Delcy Rodríguez
Chavismo, acting presidency[2]
Cuba
Miguel Díaz-Canel
Communist one-party state[2]
Nicaragua
Daniel Ortega and Rosario Murillo
Historic left, authoritarian regime[2]
The president and orientation of each of the 19 countries, according to the classification of the Colombian newspaper Publimetro, Oct 25, 2026. Highlighted: right and center-right governments[2].
See the figures in a table
| Country | Government | Classification |
|---|---|---|
| Brazil | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | Left/center-left |
| Argentina | Javier Milei | Libertarian right |
| Chile | José Antonio Kast | Conservative right |
| Colombia | Abelardo de la Espriella | Conservative right |
| Peru | Keiko Fujimori | Conservative right |
| Ecuador | Daniel Noboa | Center-right |
| Bolivia | Rodrigo Paz | Center/center-right |
| Paraguay | Santiago Peña | Right/center-right |
| Honduras | Nasry Asfura | Right |
| El Salvador | Nayib Bukele | Right/conservatism |
| Costa Rica | Laura Fernández | Center-right |
| Panama | José Raúl Mulino | Center-right |
| Dominican Rep. | Luis Abinader | Center/center-right |
| Uruguay | Yamandú Orsi | Center-left |
| Mexico | Claudia Sheinbaum | Left |
| Guatemala | Bernardo Arévalo | Reformist/progressive center |
| Venezuela | Delcy Rodríguez | Chavismo, acting presidency |
| Cuba | Miguel Díaz-Canel | Communist one-party state |
| Nicaragua | Daniel Ortega and Rosario Murillo | Historic left, authoritarian regime |
The region
Twelve neighbors on the right
Of Brazil's 18 neighbors on Publimetro's list, 12 are governed by the right, the center-right or the center/center-right, from Milei's Argentina to Kast's Chile and Abelardo de la Espriella's Colombia[2].
In South America, besides Brazil, only two countries are outside that group: Uruguay, under center-left Orsi, and Venezuela, under the acting presidency of Delcy Rodríguez[2].
Venezuela
Maduro captured, oil negotiated
On January 3, 2026, US forces, with more than 150 aircraft, captured Nicolás Maduro and Cilia Flores in Caracas. The two were taken to New York, where they are accused of narco-terrorism conspiracy[3].
"We're going to make sure that that country is run properly," Trump said[3]. On August 28, he announced a deal for the US to control 65 billion barrels of Venezuelan oil, negotiated with acting president Delcy Rodríguez. He called it "the biggest oil deal in world history"[4].
Brazil
Brazil in the crosshairs
On July 30, 2025, the US Treasury sanctioned Alexandre de Moraes, a justice of the STF (Brazil's Supreme Court), under the Magnitsky Act, a US law that punishes foreigners. Days earlier, the State Department had already revoked his and his family's visas[5].
A day after the reelection, Trump said, without evidence, that Lula's victory seemed to be another rigged election. No evidence of fraud was presented. The head of the TSE (Brazil's electoral court), Nunes Marques, recognized the result[6].
Other countries' elections
Support with strings attached
In October 2025, standing next to Milei, Trump warned Argentines ahead of the legislative election: "If he loses, we are not going to be generous with Argentina"[7]. Days earlier, the US had announced a $20 billion currency swap with the country[8].
Two days before Honduras's election, Trump backed Nasry Asfura and said that if he lost, the US would "not be throwing good money after bad." The same day, he announced he would pardon Juan Orlando Hernández, a former president convicted in the US and sentenced to 45 years for drug trafficking[9].
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Referências09 sources
- 01DGABC / Agência Brasil · Lula bate recorde com 64,3 milhões de votos na eleiçãoLula reelected on October 25, 2026 with 64,256,232 votes, 51.79% of valid votes.(opens in a new tab)
- 02Publimetro · América Latina se inclina hacia la derecha: Así quedó el mapa político en 2026 y qué países mantienen gobiernos de izquierdaWho governs each of the 19 countries and how each government is classified.(opens in a new tab)
- 03PBS News · How U.S. forces captured Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro in CaracasThe capture of Maduro and Cilia Flores, the US indictment and Trump's remark about running Venezuela.(opens in a new tab)
- 04PBS News · Trump says U.S. has entered deal with Venezuela to control 65 billion barrels of its oil reservesThe deal Trump announced for the US to control 65 billion barrels of Venezuelan oil.(opens in a new tab)
- 05Departamento do Tesouro dos EUA · Treasury Sanctions Alexandre de MoraesThe sanction on Alexandre de Moraes under the Magnitsky Act and the visa revocation on July 18, 2025.(opens in a new tab)
- 06O Liberal · Sem provas, Trump questiona eleição no Brasil, mas diz que 'gosta' de LulaTrump's remark about fraud, without evidence, and the TSE president's recognition of the result.(opens in a new tab)
- 07Euronews · Trump threatens to cut financial support for Argentina if Javier Milei loses electionTrump's words making support for Argentina conditional on Milei's victory.(opens in a new tab)
- 08Buenos Aires Times · Trump says he'll discuss trade deal with Milei, defends Argentina lifelineThe $20 billion currency swap the US announced with Argentina.(opens in a new tab)
- 09Al Jazeera · Trump says will pardon former Honduras leader before presidential voteTrump's backing of Asfura, his warning about the money and the announced pardon of Juan Orlando Hernández.(opens in a new tab)
Source titles are in the language they were published in.